SURVEY: Pinarayi, Mamata, Sonawal to return to power in assembly polls; DMK to wrest power in TN


NEW DELHI: Kerala’s Pinarayi Vijayan and West Bengal’s Mamata Banerjee will return to power in the coming assembly polls, a Battle For States survey done by IANS-C-Voter opinion poll group has concluded. The survey found DMK will wrest power in Tamil Nadu. In Assam, Chief Minister Sarbananda Sonawal will lead the BJP to victory again, the survey felt. In Puducherry, the AIADMK may win the election.

As per the survey, Pinarayi will lead the ruling LDF back to power with 85 seats in the 140-member state assembly. The present tally for the LDF in the assembly is 91 seats. The polls to Assam, Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Kerala and Pondicherry will be held in April-May and the schedule is expected to be announced by the Election Commission shortly.

In the 234-seat Tamil Nadu house, the DMK-Congress alliance is projected to win big with a two-thirds majority, getting 162 seats against the 64 seats in 2016. The AIADMK of chief minister Edappadi Palaniswami can get 64 seats against its 2016 tally of 132, the survey felt.

“Vijayan remains extremely popular,” the survey noted, and said he got nearly 47 per cent support in the survey to return as CM. It said the Congress-led UDF will improve its tally to 53 from the present 47.

The Trinamool Congress will return to power, there too with a reduced number of seats in the assembly. In Assam, the BJP-led alliance will return to power with 77 seats against the present tally of 86, the survey results hinted. The UPA in Assam will raise its tally from the present 14 to 40. In West Bengal, the Trinamool Congress of Mamata Banerjee can get 154 seats against the present 211 searts, the survey said, adding the BJP there can raise its strength from the present three MLAs to 102 MLAs.

The survey sample covered over 18,000 respondents in West Bengal, 15,000 in Tamil Nadu, 6,000 respondents in Kerala, 5,000 in Assam and 1,000 plus in Puducherry.


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